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CREDIT SUISSE: Huge demographic changes in the US could hit these 14 retail stocks

The demographic makeup of the US will change dramatically over the next 10 years.

Fans at the World Men's Curling Championships.

The demographic makeup of the US will change dramatically over the next 10 years, and a new report from a group of Credit Suisse analysts led by Seth Sigman shows that those changes could have a big impact on consumer spending and the well-being of certain industries.

According to the report, the following demographic changes will have the biggest impact on consumer spending:

  • "Lower growth in under 25-years-old cohort."
  • "Growing young adult population."
  • "Shrinking middle-age population."
  • "Growing older population."

"Our analysis is most positive for Home Improvement, Leisure-related categories (e.g., RV's, boats), and Staple categories (Healthcare, Household Supplies, Food at Home) based on expected growth in the young adult and 65+ age cohorts, while less positive for Apparel/Footwear, General Sporting Goods, Home Furnishings, Casual Dining, based on a shrinking middle-age group," the analysts wrote.

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Following are 14 stocks Credit Suisse thinks could be negatively affected by demographic changes in the US.

Hudson's Bay Company

Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

JCPenney

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Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

Nordstrom

Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

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Kohl's

Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

Macy's

Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

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Source: Credit Suisse

Phillips-Van Heusen

Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

Ralph Lauren

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Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

Denny's

hrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

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Bloomin' Brands

hrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

Pier 1 Imports

Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

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Source: Credit Suisse

Williams Sonoma

Demographic driver: Shrinking middle-age population; old population spends less

Source: Credit Suisse

Dick's

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Hibbett Sports

GameStop

Less growth in ​under-25-year-old population.

Source: Credit Suisse

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